MSFT Stage Analysis
Microsoft Corp is Stage 3 — Topping
5 of 7 trend-template checks pass. 12-month excess return versus the S&P 500 is -20.3%. Last close $500 as of Sep 4, 2026.
Microsoft Corp · MSFT · NasdaqGS
Stage 3 — Topping
Price is showing a topping or distribution phase after an advance. Trend support is weakening, so confirmation matters more than anticipation. 5 of 7 trend-template checks pass. It has trailed the S&P 500 by 20.3 percentage points over 12 months.
Trend template
Seven objective checks
Price above 150-day MA
PassPrice above 200-day MA
Pass150-day MA above 200-day MA
Not met200-day MA trending up
Not met50-day MA above longer MAs
PassAt least 30% above 52-week low
PassWithin 25% of 52-week high
Pass
Relative strength
Stock vs. SPY
- 3 months
- +15.5%
- 6 months
- +7.6%
- 12 months
- -20.3%
- Mansfield RS
- +1.4%
Fundamentals
Latest reported growth
- Revenue growth
- +18.3%
- EPS growth
- +23.4%
InvestorWaves context
Themes and research
Related tool
See the same MSFT reading against the seven Minervini-style trend-template checks.
How this MSFT reading was built
The live result
Microsoft Corp is in Stage 3 — Topping
Price is showing a topping or distribution phase after an advance. Trend support is weakening, so confirmation matters more than anticipation. 5 of 7 trend-template checks pass. It has trailed the S&P 500 by 20.3 percentage points over 12 months.
- 5 of 7 trend-template checks pass
- Last close $500 through Sep 4, 2026
- Rules-based daily-chart reading, not an AI summary
How Stan Weinstein Stage Analysis Works
Stan Weinstein popularized a four-stage way to read a stock’s primary trend: Stage 1 basing, Stage 2 advancing, Stage 3 topping, and Stage 4 declining. This MSFT page uses InvestorWaves’ rules-based daily-chart adaptation, with the 150-day moving average as a practical proxy for the 30-week average.
The same engine also checks price against its 50-, 150-, and 200-day averages, the direction of the 200-day average, position within the 52-week range, and performance relative to SPY. Open the Minervini Trend Template tool to inspect those seven checks on their own.
Results are calculated from completed daily price data—not generated by AI. This is an independent educational implementation and is not affiliated with or endorsed by Stan Weinstein. It is not investment advice.
Frequently asked questions
What stage is MSFT in?
Microsoft Corp (MSFT) currently reads as Stage 3 — Topping on InvestorWaves’ rules-based stage model, using completed daily prices through Sep 4, 2026.
Does MSFT pass the trend template?
MSFT currently passes 5 of 7 objective trend-template checks. Those checks look at moving averages, the 52-week range, and trend direction—not a buy or sell recommendation.
How is this MSFT stage reading calculated?
InvestorWaves applies deterministic rules to completed daily prices, moving averages, the 52-week range, and S&P 500 relative strength. The result is not generated by AI.
Is this the official Stan Weinstein method?
No. This is an independent InvestorWaves adaptation of Stan Weinstein’s four-stage framework and is not affiliated with or endorsed by him.
Is this MSFT result investment advice?
No. The tool is for educational and informational use and does not recommend buying or selling a security.