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NVDAAI Data CentersSemiconductors & Related Devices

Nvidia Corp

Datacenter revenue is still accelerating while the stock consolidates below highs.

Stage: Stage 2 (early)Rev growth: +85.2% YoYGAAP EPS growth: +214% YoYTrend template: 6/7 checksRS vs S&P (3m): -5.3%
1 year · 9 EMA · 21 EMA$214.72+22.7% (1Y)
$180$200$220OCTJANAPRJUL$214.72

NVIDIA Corp builds the processors, GPUs and system-level accelerators that power large-scale AI workloads in cloud and enterprise data centers. The company sits at the center of the AI Data Centers theme: its products are the primary compute engines for model training and inference, so shifts in data-center spending map directly into NVIDIA's top line and margins.

The raw numbers in the provided filings show a pronounced upward revenue trajectory over the last several reported quarters — revenue moves from $13.507B in CY2023Q2 to $81.615B in CY2026Q1 — and the dataset flags revenue as accelerating. Earnings per share show a similar improvement, rising from $0.25 in CY2023Q2 to $2.39 in CY2026Q1, with the fundamentals summary marking EPS acceleration as well. The cadence of growth shows sequential gains across multiple quarters in the sample.

The editor thesis is straightforward and reflected in the data: datacenter-driven revenue and EPS acceleration have been the engine behind NVIDIA's recent fundamental momentum, while the stock has not run away from its highs. That combination — strong fundamental momentum tied to AI Data Center demand alongside a period of price consolidation — is the setup investors track when weighing next moves around leadership semiconductor names.

Why now

Why now: the company's most recent quarter in the dataset (CY2026Q1) anchors a multi-quarter revenue and EPS acceleration trend (revenue flagged as accelerating and EPS flagged as accelerating), while the market has pulled the share price back into a consolidation zone roughly 8.9% below the 52-week high, creating a nearer-term technical pause against an otherwise strong fundamental rhythm. Multiple recent 8-K filings and a 10-Q in May add a steady stream of public disclosures to monitor.

The setup

Technical picture as of 2026-08-21: last close $214.72, trading above the 50-day simple moving average ($207.58) and the 200-day SMA ($195.29). The model reports 6 of 7 trend checks passed, with the lone failed check being the requirement to be at least 30% above the 52-week low (the stock is about 30% above that low). The RSI is neutral at 51.01 and the shares sit roughly 8.92% below the 52-week high, consistent with a consolidation rather than a breakdown.

Revenue trajectory

+206%$18.1BQ3 '23+262%$26.0BQ1 '24+122%$30.0BQ2 '24+94%$35.1BQ3 '24+69%$44.1BQ1 '25+56%$46.7BQ2 '25+62%$57.0BQ3 '25+85%$81.6BQ1 '26+97%$92.1BQ3 '26E+82%$103.8BQ4 '26E

Reported (SEC filings)Analyst consensus

Quarterly revenue with year-over-year growth. Solid bars are actuals from SEC EDGAR filings (XBRL); dashed bars are analyst consensus via Yahoo Finance (54 analysts).

Earnings trajectory

+37%$0.37Q3 '23-27%$0.60Q1 '24+168%$0.67Q2 '24+111%$0.78Q3 '24+27%$0.76Q1 '25+61%$1.08Q2 '25+67%$1.30Q3 '25+214%$2.39Q1 '26+99%$2.09Q3 '26E+82%$2.36Q4 '26E

GAAP actual (SEC filings)Analyst consensus (typically adjusted)

Solid bars are quarterly GAAP diluted EPS from SEC EDGAR filings. Dashed bars are analyst consensus, which is typically adjusted (non-GAAP). The two are measured differently, so a step between the last actual and the first estimate usually reflects that change in basis rather than a change in the business.

Analyst full-year EPS consensus (typically adjusted): FY'27E $9.01 (+89%) · FY'28E $13.03 (+45%) — 54 analysts

Risks

Key risks: (1) Demand concentration — a large share of NVIDIA's growth ties to data-center AI spending; if cloud capex or enterprise AI adoption slows, revenue momentum could decelerate. (2) Competitor and product-cycle risk — semiconductor cycles, new competitor silicon or execution issues on next-generation products could compress pricing or delay revenue. (3) Market-sensitivity/valuation risk — because the shares have been a leadership name, any hiccup in growth or guidance could lead to outsized volatility; the sequence of recent 8-Ks means investors should watch corporate disclosures for material developments.

Framework fit

CANSLIM

5/7
  • CCurrent quarterly GAAP EPS growth ≥ 25%+214%✓
  • AAnnual GAAP EPS growth ≥ 25%insufficient data—
  • NNew highs — within 15% of 52-week high-8.92%✓
  • SSupply/demand — up-day volume leads1x✓
  • LLeader — outperforming the S&P 500+2% 6m✓
  • IInstitutional sponsorship——
  • MMarket in a confirmed uptrendConfirmed uptrend✓

Minervini Trend Template

6/7

Stage 2 confirmation checklist: price versus rising long-term moving averages and the 52-week range.

Weinstein Stage

Stage 2 (early)Advancing (early)

Broke above the rising 200-day line 17 sessions ago — the classic Stage 1-to-2 transition zone.