Super Micro Computer, Inc. - Common Stock (SMCI) Stock Analysis — Latest Investor Quotes & Trade Calls

Super Micro Earnings Guidance Raises Caution Amid Potential Upside

"Now, I want to jump into Super Micro. So, Super Micro right now is down roughly 8.7% for the day. Unfortunately, today Super Micro provides first quarter of fiscal year 2026 update. The revenue that they expect for this quarter is going to be $5 billion versus the 6 to 7 billion guidance. They mentioned they're seeing robust demand on the GB300, the B300, and even AMD's 355X liquid cooling, which is already shipping right now. To calm nerves, they do mention that they continue to see customer demand accelerating and they are reiterating revenue of at least $33 billion for fiscal year 2026."

The speaker highlights Super Micro's disappointing first quarter update with revenue expectations falling short of guidance, while noting strong demand for new products and significant design wins that could drive a rebound in the next quarter. There is underlying caution concerning potential margin pressure if older models are discounted.

Negative Guidance and Accounting Concerns at SMCI

"Looking at shares of Super Micro Computer, that's taker SMCI. We're really seeing what was once a fan favorite here, reporting uh an unexpectedly issuing a first quarter guidance that fell short of the streets estimates here. Of course, you know, the stock is still up about 61% year to date. But this is among the worst performing stocks in the S&P 500 right now, down as much as 7.6% here as people really just parse this unexpected uh delivery here. And also, we do know that the company's really been working to recover from some of its accounting concerns since it missed an August 2024 deadline to file its annual financial report here."

The commentary notes that SMCI has reported disappointing Q1 guidance and is facing accounting issues, including a missed filing deadline, despite strong year-to-date gains. This mixed performance and recent negative news highlights considerable short-term risk.