Amazon Trade Call: Buy Ahead of Earnings
"To answer the question, is Amazon stock a buy before earnings? I think so. I bought Amazon stock before earnings. It was a few weeks ago, but I guess it was before earnings. Um, if youre interested in Amazon stock, buying before earnings is fine. If you want the less risky approach, you can buy it after earnings or you can split your purchase in two and buy half before and half after. But I wouldnt mind buying ahead of earnings. Its not so uh clear-cut where I would say yes, definitely buy it before earnings. You dont want to miss out on the upside. I cant say that. I also wont say that its too expensive that you should wait until after earnings. No, I think its a buy right now."
The speaker explains his rationale for buying Amazon (AMZN) stock before earnings. He notes that while the decision isnt clear-cut, he believes buying ahead of earnings can capture the upside, citing fair value estimates and strong fundamentals, particularly in AWS and cash flow generation.
Amazon Breakout Signal Above 224 as a Buy Trigger
"So, this one's early. We saw really similar pattern uh with Google. Now, my my trigger over this, Josh, is to close over 224. This is uh and we are so close. It's knocking on the door. Um but I'm really watching 224 to break out. This is the two-day. And look at this RSI. We just took the signal line and we're moving back over 50. The MACD is about to Here, let me zoom in real quick. Look at that MACD. She's curling up trying to give us another run back up through the signal line, back through the zero line. This is a huge buy signal. If we get that and I love the uh I love the pattern, Josh, this descending channel, we break up."
In an early-stage trade call for Amazon, the speaker identifies a key breakout trigger when the stock closes above 224. With technical indicators like RSI moving above 50 and a bullish MACD setup, this signal is highlighted as a strong buy opportunity, pending confirmation with a second candle above the trigger level.
Undervalued Trade Call on Amazon (AMZN)
"The next undervalued AI stock I'm going to present is Amazon. Amazon's trading at a current market price of $219, and I calculated a fair value for the stock at $295. Of course, Amazon stock is under pressure here in 2025. It is directly exposed to the negative impacts of tariffs and that's why you're seeing Amazon stock trading at such a low valuation. Additionally, investors are concerned about the outages caused by Amazon this week. But that really hasn't had a negative impact on the company's stock price. In fact, on the day of the outage, Amazon stock price was up."
The speaker highlights Amazon as an undervalued stock trading at $219 with a calculated fair value of $295, noting that negative factors like tariffs and outages are offset by favorable trade developments. This presents an actionable buy call based on strong free cash flow projections and tailwinds in online shopping.
Buy Opportunity on Amazon Dip
"Now questions here for Amazon and Marll. Am I worried about Amazon? Are people going to say, "Look, is this compute loss that Amazon could have gotten from Anthropic?" In theory, yes. If Amazon sees a negative reaction to this, I would gladly want to buy the dip, right? Amazon is one of my favorite Mac 7s right now in forms of valuation. I don't own it, but it's one I really, really do enjoy these levels. And any drop in my opinion below 215s into the 210s is a definite buy opportunity for me if I had cash in my portfolio right now."
The speaker expresses a clear trade call on Amazon, stating that any dip below the 215-210 range represents a buy opportunity, reflecting confidence in its valuation and potential for recovery amidst market reactions.
Amazon Put Option Trade Call on Dip Buying
"I continue to think Amazon is a is a great value here, but some of you may want to be a little bit more patient. Some of you may want to earn income. Some of you may want to utilize options. And that's why I continue to stand by this particular option play. This is a um one that I covered on a recent video investing $100,000 into a single stock. It was on Amazon covering this particular put option. So, if you didn't yet get into that, you still can because you still have roughly 30 days till expiration. That $200 strike ending on November 21st can earn you $355. Put that into real dollar terms, that's $355 per contract. So, one contract, you can generate 355. And that puts you on the hook saying, "Hey, I will gladly buy Amazon if that stock price does in fact drop below 200 over the course of the next 21 days. I have no issue buying Amazon at a price tag at 200. Will that be the exact bottom? I don't know. we could go down to 180, but doing my homework right now, I have no problem buying this particular company at $200 if it in fact gets um that low."
The speaker presents a trade call on Amazon, recommending a put option play that allows investors to buy the stock at $200 if it drops. He explains the mechanics of the option with clear time sensitivity (roughly 30 days until expiration) and a defined strike price, indicating strong conviction on Amazon's value at a dip.
Amazon Leverages AI to Enhance Shopping Experience
"One that I find super interesting today, up as much as about 1.3%. But this is after Amazon said it is rolling out a new AI powered tool that will recommend a specific product when shoppers are feeling overwhelmed. So, this is made essentially for the indecisive. Apparently, if you're spending way too much time clicking through different products, it's supposed to hop in there and start recommending some to narrow it down for you."
The discussion covers Amazon's recent announcement of a new AI-powered tool aimed at streamlining the shopping process. The new feature is designed to help consumers by recommending products when they are overwhelmed by choices, suggesting a potential catalyst for the stock given its innovative approach.
Amazon Stock Price Target and Trade Position
"So if we combine these two and we think that everything is on track and remains the same, nothing changes and the company moves forward progressing towards the $922 in earnings per share and the market values the company at a forward PE of 31.22. In that scenario, Amazon stock price could end next year at $287.85. That would be a nice increase from the current market price of $21642 as I'm recording this video. As an Amazon shareholder myself, I bought Amazon stock roughly 3 weeks ago. I would be grateful for that return on investment."
The speaker presents a model-based price target for Amazon stock next year, using the company’s EPS estimate and forward PE ratio. He highlights a base scenario of $287.85 per share, notes potential upside if multiples expand, and acknowledges downside risks. His recent purchase of Amazon stock reinforces his bullish conviction despite potential negatives.
Amazon Earnings Dip: Buy Every Share if It Drops
"What if Amazon stock goes down on these earnings? What do you do? You buy every share you possibly can. I think there's a pretty low probability – probably a 30% chance it goes down and a 70% chance it goes up on earnings. At the end of the day, this stock's going 300 plus next year. If, for any reason, that 30% probability plays out, buy every share in sight. There's no reason not to take advantage of good deals in the market."
Bill Baroo offers an actionable trade idea for Amazon, suggesting that if the stock dips on earnings – which he estimates has a 30% probability – investors should aggressively buy shares. He maintains a strong bullish view on Amazon's longer-term prospects, expecting the stock to exceed 300 next year, making any earnings dip an attractive buying opportunity.
AWS outage undermines Amazon's reliability
"The day Amazon broke the internet for millions of Americans. A glitch with an obscure Amazon database disrupted core internet services causing Alexa devices and financial trades to malfunction. The faulty update sent the well-oiled machine careening towards a crash, resulting in prolonged outages across critical services, including my own website Qualrum. This massive failure not only inflicted immediate reputational damage on AWS but is also likely to push companies towards a multicloud strategy, further hurting Amazon's market dominance."
The speaker highlights an AWS outage that caused widespread disruptions and reputational damage for Amazon (AMZN), suggesting that this failure may lead customers to adopt multicloud strategies, negatively impacting Amazon in the long run.
Bullish Company Commentary on Amazon
"The first thing, Amazon, it's a top five position in my portfolio. And I want to acknowledge the internet was shut down yesterday. If you were affected by this outage, own the company. Because if you're bitching about Snapchat not being available, about some of your apps not being available, it's because of Amazon. That's how big AWS is. You want to own a company that can shut the world down."
The speaker underscores Amazon's dominant market position and resilience during a major internet outage, noting its highly rated quant score and emphasizing that owning Amazon gives you exposure to a company capable of impacting global connectivity.